Spain
Spain (ES)CRITICALEurope · pop. 47,520,000 · GDP 1,397,509 M USD
Why this score? · top 3 of 20 events driving the 30-day risk
Major industries
Major exports
30d events
AI Brief
Current status
Spain faces an unprecedented security crisis with 169 events recorded over the last 30 days, including 71 critical and 87 high-severity incidents. The situation is dominated by conventional military operations and embargo actions, with particular escalation in Catalonia from May 15-17. A concurrent hantavirus outbreak adds public health complications to an already volatile environment.
Supply chain impact
- Automotive supply chains face severe disruption as Spain's major manufacturing hubs experience military operations, threatening exports to European markets and disrupting just-in-time production networks.
- Mediterranean shipping routes through Spanish ports are compromised by embargo actions, affecting machinery and agricultural exports that normally flow to North Africa and the Americas.
- Tourism-dependent regions are experiencing operational shutdowns, cascading into reduced demand for hospitality supplies, food service equipment, and consumer goods.
- Catalonian industrial zones face targeted military operations, threatening Barcelona's port operations and regional manufacturing that serves broader European supply networks.
- Agricultural exports, particularly citrus and other fresh produce, risk spoilage and delivery delays due to transportation network disruptions across affected regions.
Watch points
- Monitor escalation of military operations beyond Catalonia into other autonomous regions, which would compound supply chain disruptions across Spain's industrial corridors.
- Track hantavirus outbreak containment efforts, as expanded health restrictions could further limit cargo movement and workforce availability in key logistics hubs.
- Watch for extension of embargo measures to additional sectors or trading partners, potentially disrupting Spain's role as a Mediterranean gateway for European trade.
Risk by layer
90d risk trend
Structural risk profile
Produced commodities
Dependent chokepoints
Recent events (20)
- MEDIUMActive wildfire cluster in ES (59 detections)2026-06-14
- HIGHDemonstration/rally in Spain (general), Spain2026-06-14
- MEDIUMActive wildfire cluster in ES (123 detections)2026-06-13
- CRITICALEconomic blockade in Spain (general), Spain2026-06-12
- HIGHDemonstration/rally in AndalucíSP, Spain2026-06-12
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in ES (41 detections)2026-06-12
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in ES (30 detections)2026-06-11
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in ES (29 detections)2026-06-10
- MEDIUMWildfire in Spain — Green alert2026-06-09
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in ES (35 detections)2026-06-09
- HIGHMilitary force (coercive) in Valenciana, Spain2026-06-09
- HIGHArrest/detain in Madrid, Spain2026-06-08
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in ES (23 detections)2026-06-08
- CRITICALEconomic blockade in Spain2026-06-07
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in ES (20 detections)2026-06-07
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in ES (22 detections)2026-06-05
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Spain2026-06-04
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in ES (32 detections)2026-06-04
- MEDIUMActive wildfire cluster in ES (70 detections)2026-06-03
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Pais Vasco, Spain2026-06-03
Related News (30)
- Majorca Overtourism Protest City Standstillexpress.co.uk·2026-06-14
Demonstration/rally reported in Canary Islands, Spain (general), Spain. Actors: TOURIST, CANARY ISLANDS. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 8 sources.
- Olivia Bowen Husband Alex Spanish Villa Built Scratchdailymail.com·2026-06-12
Economic blockade reported in Canary Islands, Spain (general), Spain. Actors: SPANISH. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 10 sources.
- Costa Blanca Animalbeating Perpetrator Set Deported After ntsurinenglish.com·2026-06-09
Military force (coercive) reported in Torrevieja, Valenciana, Spain. Actors: DETAINEE, SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Arrest/detain in Madrid, Spainthebostonpilot.com·2026-06-08
Arrest/detain reported in Madrid, Madrid, Spain. Actors: THE POPE, TOLEDO. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- .farmers Market Moving Westbourne Hall West Kirbychesterstandard.co.uk·2026-06-07
Economic blockade reported in Spain. Actors: FARMER, SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 4 sources.
- Illegal Immigrant Flashes Courtroom Grin After Allegedly Killing Baby Mother And Grandmotheramren.com·2026-06-04
Use conventional military force reported in Spain. Actors: UNITED STATES, SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Use conventional military force in Pais Vasco, Spainenglish.news.cn·2026-06-03
Use conventional military force reported in Gipuzkoa, Pais Vasco, Spain. Actors: SPAIN, POLICE. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 20 sources.
- Marcus Batto Michael Jackson Memorialfilmmakermagazine.com·2026-06-03
Chemical weapons used reported in Spain. Actors: SPANISH, REFUGEE. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 3 sources.
- Milex 26 eu Deploys Troops in Spain to Test Its Rapid Reaction Forceeuronews.com·2026-06-02
Nuclear alert reported in Canary Islands, Spain (general), Spain. Actors: SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -7.2 · 5 sources.
- Easyjet Tui Jet2 Ryanair Bluetoothgetsurrey.co.uk·2026-06-01
Reduce diplomatic ties reported in Palma De Mallorca, Islas Baleares, Spain. Actors: RYANAIR, SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -4 · 8 sources.
- Gestor Who Charged Foreigners E400 For Residency Appointments Arrested in Spainthelocal.es·2026-06-01
Arrest/detain reported in Salamanca, Castilla y LeóP, Spain. Actors: POLICE, SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Enrique Riquelme Escalates Campaign With Direct Warning Over Real Madrid Ownershipmanagingmadrid.com·2026-06-01
Use conventional military force reported in Madrid, Madrid, Spain. Actors: MADRID, MADRID. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- UK tourists issued Spain holiday warning with Greece, Cyprus, Turkey affected too - Birmingham LiveBirmingham Live·2026-05-31
UK tourists issued Spain holiday warning with Greece, Cyprus, Turkey affected too Birmingham Live
- Lorca The Broken Voice Sideral Documentary Salesvariety.com·2026-05-29
Use conventional military force reported in Granada, AndalucíSP, Spain. Actors: SPANISH, WRITER. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- Will Collaborate Spanish PM Pedro Sanchez After Police Raidarticle.wn.com·2026-05-28
Use conventional military force reported in Spain. Actors: SPAIN, POLICE. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Reduce diplomatic ties in Spainbbc.co.uk·2026-05-27
Reduce diplomatic ties reported in Spain. Actors: UNITED KINGDOM, SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -4 · 6 sources.
- Arrests Confirmed Following 280kg Seizure of Cannabis Resin at Seagbc.gi·2026-05-24
Arrest/detain reported in Spain. Actors: SPANISH. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- Great Job Spanish Police Drag Beat Gaza Flotilla Activists Days After Madrid Condemned Israel See Footagetheyeshivaworld.com·2026-05-24
Arrest/detain reported in Spain. Actors: SPANISH, SPANISH. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Spain Tens of Thousands Rally in Anti Government Protest Demand an End to Socialist Mafia Rulelegalinsurrection.com·2026-05-24
Protest reported in Madrid, Madrid, Spain. Actors: PROTESTER, SPANISH. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 3 sources.
- Leo Xiv Authorizes Beatification of 80 Civil War Martyrs Ahead of His Trip to Spainewtnnews.com·2026-05-23
Use conventional military force reported in Spain. Actors: SPAIN, CARMELITES. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 5 sources.
- Tens of Thousands March in Madrid to Demand Spanish Prime Minister Resignswhbl.com·2026-05-23
Demonstration/rally reported in Madrid, Madrid, Spain. Actors: SPANISH. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 3 sources.
- Spanish Police Clash With Global Sumud Flotilla Activists at Bilbao Airportaa.com.tr·2026-05-23
Use conventional military force reported in Barcelona, Comunidad Autonoma de Cataluna, Spain. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 3 sources.
- Isak Andic Mango Fashion Billionaire Son Arrested Connection Deathperezhilton.com·2026-05-23
Arrest/detain reported in Barcelona, Comunidad Autonoma de Cataluna, Spain. Actors: BARCELONA, AUTHORITIES. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- Spanish Former Prime Minister Charged With Fraudtheworld.org·2026-05-22
Arrest/detain reported in Spain. Actors: SPAIN, AIRLINE. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Meteorologists Predict an el Nino For The History Bookstheworld.org·2026-05-22
Arrest/detain reported in Spain. Actors: SPAIN, AIRLINE. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 5 sources.
- Estee Lauder Puig Talks Fail After Charlotte Tilbury Tensionbusinesstimes.com.sg·2026-05-22
Demonstration/rally reported in Madrid, Madrid, Spain. Actors: SPAIN, BUSINESS. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 4 sources.
- What Spain Now Grudgingly Concedes it Must Learn From a Resurgent Moroccomoroccoworldnews.com·2026-05-22
Reduce diplomatic ties reported in Madrid, Madrid, Spain. Actors: AFRICA, MADRID. Tension (Goldstein): -4 · 3 sources.
- Chemical weapons used in Spainfark.com·2026-05-21
Chemical weapons used reported in Spain. Actors: VENEZUELA, SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Why Trump s Dispute With Spain is Escalating And What it Could Mean For Natoaa.com.tr·2026-05-21
Use conventional military force reported in Madrid, Madrid, Spain. Actors: SPAIN, IRAN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- Two Dangerous Fugitives Arrested in t Rkiye And Spainalbaniandailynews.com·2026-05-20
Arrest/detain reported in Alicante, Valenciana, Spain. Actors: ITALIAN, SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 8 sources.