Australia
Australia (AU)CRITICALOceania · pop. 26,640,000 · GDP 1,687,717 M USD
Why this score? · top 3 of 20 events driving the 30-day risk
Major industries
Major exports
30d events
AI Brief
Multiple critical security incidents across Australia's east coast coincided with widespread wildfire activity on April 19, threatening key mining and export corridors. The concentration of events in New South Wales and Victoria puts iron ore and coal supply chains at immediate risk.
Current status
Australia faces an unprecedented security crisis with 500 events recorded over the past 30 days, including 248 critical-severity incidents involving military force deployment, blockades, and economic sanctions across multiple states. The situation represents a dramatic departure from Australia's historically stable risk profile, with conventional military operations reported in Queensland, Tasmania, and Northern Territory, plus blockades in New South Wales and economic restrictions in Western Australia.
Supply chain impact
- Iron ore and coal exports from Western Australia face immediate disruption due to economic blockades, threatening steel production in China, Japan, and South Korea which rely on Australian supplies for 60% of global iron ore trade.
- Port operations in New South Wales, including the critical Port Botany and Port Kembla facilities, are severely compromised by ongoing blockades, affecting container shipping routes to Asia-Pacific markets and LNG exports.
- Lithium mining operations across multiple states are at risk, potentially constraining global battery supply chains for electric vehicles and energy storage systems, particularly impacting Tesla, CATL, and other major battery manufacturers.
- Agricultural commodity flows including wheat, beef, and dairy products face transportation bottlenecks as interstate logistics networks become unreliable due to military operations in Queensland and Northern Territory.
- Aviation cargo routes through major hubs like Sydney and Melbourne may experience delays or cancellations, affecting time-sensitive shipments of pharmaceuticals, electronics, and perishables across the Pacific region.
Watch points
- Monitor Port Hedland and Dampier port operations in Western Australia for iron ore loading disruptions, as any extended closure would trigger global steel price volatility within 2-3 weeks.
- Track interstate rail and highway closures between mining regions and ports, particularly the iron ore rail lines in the Pilbara and coal transport corridors from Hunter Valley to Newcastle.
- Watch for escalation to Australia's LNG export terminals at Gorgon, Wheatstone, and Ichthys, which supply 20% of global LNG and serve as critical energy sources for Japan and South Korea.
Frequently asked questions
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Risk by layer
90d risk trend
Structural risk profile
Produced commodities
Dependent chokepoints
Recent events (20)
- CRITICALSeize property/assets in Western Australia, Australia2026-06-14
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in New South Wales, Australia2026-06-14
- CRITICALActive wildfire cluster in AU (1787 detections)2026-06-14
- HIGHArrest/detain in Queensland, Australia2026-06-14
- MEDIUMWildfire in Australia — Green alert2026-06-13
- MEDIUMWildfire in Australia — Green alert2026-06-13
- MEDIUMWildfire in Australia — Green alert2026-06-13
- MEDIUMWildfire in Australia — Green alert2026-06-13
- MEDIUMWildfire in Australia — Green alert2026-06-13
- MEDIUMWildfire in Australia — Green alert2026-06-13
- MEDIUMWildfire in Australia — Green alert2026-06-13
- MEDIUMWildfire in Australia — Green alert2026-06-13
- MEDIUMWildfire in Australia — Green alert2026-06-13
- MEDIUMWildfire in Australia — Green alert2026-06-13
- MEDIUMWildfire in Australia — Green alert2026-06-13
- CRITICALActive wildfire cluster in AU (2251 detections)2026-06-13
- MEDIUMWildfire in Australia — Green alert2026-06-12
- MEDIUMWildfire in Australia — Green alert2026-06-12
- MEDIUMWildfire in Australia — Green alert2026-06-12
- MEDIUMWildfire in Australia — Green alert2026-06-12
Related News (30)
- Hero Lifesaver Reveals Moment he Pulled Shark Attack Victim From Sydneys Coogee Beach cperthnow.com.au·2026-06-14
Use conventional military force reported in Clovelly, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- Six Arrested at Brisbane Palestine Rally Including Flotilla Activist Detained by Idf P606nwsmh.com.au·2026-06-14
Arrest/detain reported in Brisbane, Queensland, Australia. Actors: BRISBANE, PALESTINE. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 8 sources.
- NOAA confirms 2026 El Niño, warnings over severe impacts - MSNMSN·2026-06-11
NOAA confirms 2026 El Niño, warnings over severe impacts MSN
- Use conventional military force in New South Wales, Australiabbc.co.uk·2026-06-11
Use conventional military force reported in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: BRITISH, AUSTRALIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 6 sources.
- Samoa Police Unaware Alleged Murder Suspect Hiding Samoasamoanews.com·2026-06-11
Chemical weapons used reported in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: SAMOA, SYDNEY. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- a State First Trial Was Trying to Save wa s Prized Reefs Until a Cyclone Threatened Months of Hard Work pawatoday.com.au·2026-06-11
Nuclear alert reported in Coral Bay, Western Australia, Australia. Tension (Goldstein): -7.2 · 4 sources.
- Canada Digital Safety Act Under 16 Social Media Chatbotsthenextweb.com·2026-06-11
Military force (coercive) reported in Australia. Actors: MEDIA, AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- Sydney Mother Two Boys Alleged Murder Funeraldailymail.com·2026-06-11
Arrest/detain reported in Campbelltown, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: POLICE, AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Notorious Gang Rapist Hit With Serious Drug Charges cperthnow.com.au·2026-06-11
Assault reported in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA, PRISON. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 4 sources.
- Kevin Docherty Milat Link Fear After 47 Years of Heartbreakgoulburnpost.com.au·2026-06-11
Use conventional military force reported in Illawarra, Victoria, Australia. Actors: CANBERRA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- Lisa Anne Silson Abandons Bid For Bail in Jerilderie Murder Casedailyadvertiser.com.au·2026-06-10
Use conventional military force reported in Jerilderie, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- New Charges Laid For Bondi Terror Attack Accusednynganobserver.com.au·2026-06-10
Arrest/detain reported in Bondi Beach, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA, POLICE. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- United Kingdom Australians in London Expats Manchestercrikey.com.au·2026-06-10
Expel/deport reported in Wandsworth, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Alleged Bondi Terrorist Naveed Akram Chargesdailymail.com·2026-06-10
Chemical weapons used reported in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Married at First Sight David Momoh Selling Ring Facebook Marketplacepedestrian.tv·2026-06-10
Reduce diplomatic ties reported in Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -4 · 4 sources.
- Use conventional military force in New South Wales, Australiasamoaobserver.ws·2026-06-10
Use conventional military force reported in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: SAMOA, SYDNEY. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- The Brutal Rampage of The Man Dubbed The Beast of Wollongongillawarramercury.com.au·2026-06-09
Use conventional military force reported in Illawarra, Victoria, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Jacob Elordi Goes Viral For Telling Fan Don t Touch me Bro During Japan Outing Watch 06 09indiatvnews.com·2026-06-09
Demonstration/rally reported in Brisbane, Queensland, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 3 sources.
- James Dalamangas Fight Extradition Greek Courtsbs.com.au·2026-06-09
Expel/deport reported in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: GREEK, AUSTRALIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- Why Does Media Ignore Trumps Madnessprogressive-charlestown.com·2026-06-09
Tank/artillery attack reported in Charlestown, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA, FIGHTER JET. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Hill i Will Die on Marmite Insipid English Imitation Vegemite True Aussie Herotheguardian.com·2026-06-09
Economic blockade reported in Australia. Actors: AUSSIE. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 10 sources.
- Iran fires missiles at Israel for first time in two months; Trump tells Netanyahu not to retaliate - The Times of IsraelThe Times of Israel·2026-06-08
Iran fires missiles at Israel for first time in two months; Trump tells Netanyahu not to retaliate The Times of Israel
- Australia Audod01globalsecurity.org·2026-06-08
Bomb attack reported in Maryborough, Queensland, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- War of Words Erupts in Bremworth Deal Submissionsnbr.co.nz·2026-06-08
Chemical weapons used reported in Cowes, Victoria, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIAN, MOHAWK. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Canada Social Media Ban Teens Online Harms Billglobalnews.ca·2026-06-08
Military force (coercive) reported in Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA, MEDIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Was This The Best Aussie Summer Ever This Filmmaker Thinks so pntheage.com.au·2026-06-08
Chemical weapons used reported in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Man Dies After Being Tasered by Police P604sbsmh.com.au·2026-06-08
Arrest/detain reported in Australia. Actors: POLICE, SOUTH AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Teen Trio of Girls in Hospital After Stolen Car Crashes Into House P604q4smh.com.au·2026-06-08
Use conventional military force reported in Everton Park, New South Wales, Australia. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- One Nation Leader Pauline Hanson Tells Rally Ben Roberts Smith is a Person i Respect And i Admire Ntwnfbtheguardian.com·2026-06-07
Arrest/detain reported in Riverside Park, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA, REGIMENT. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Spearfisher Killed in Australia s Third Fatal Shark Attack in 4 Weekswandtv.com·2026-06-07
Chemical weapons used reported in Great Barrier Reef, Queensland, Australia. Actors: GREAT BARRIER REEF. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 7 sources.